O impacto do comércio internacional no crescimento econômico do Equador: uma análise do período 2000-2022
Resumo
Este estudo analisa a influência da abertura comercial, do investimento estrangeiro direto (IED) e da dívida externa no crescimento econômico do Equador desde 2000. Por meio de uma abordagem econométrica, ele explora as oportunidades e os desafios que esses fatores apresentam para o desenvolvimento sustentável do país. Os principais resultados indicam que a abertura comercial e o IED têm um impacto positivo sobre o crescimento econômico, enquanto a dívida externa tem um efeito negativo. Um aumento de 1% na abertura comercial está associado a um aumento no PIB de 0,42%, enquanto um aumento semelhante no IED gera um impacto positivo de 0,31%. Em contrapartida, um aumento de 1% na dívida externa está associado a uma redução de 0,21% no PIB. As conclusões oferecem recomendações para fortalecer a resiliência e a competitividade do Equador em um ambiente econômico internacional em constante mudança.
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